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The Art of Thinking Clearly

The Art of Thinking Clearly

  1. We systematically overestimate the chances of success - Survivorship Bias
  2. Swimmer’s body illusion - be wary when you are encouraged to strive for something
  3. Clustering illusion - we are over sensitive to pattern recognition
  4. Social proof - If fifty million people say something foolish, it is still foolish
  5. Sunk cost fallacy - forget about the spendings on worst past, get out of it asap
  6. Reciprocity - don’t accept freebies from people as you obliged to repay back
  7. Confirmation bias - we interpret new info so that it becomes compatible with out existing beliefs
  8. Authority bias - whenever you are about to make a decision, think about the authority figures who might be exerting an influence on your reasoning
  9. Contrast effect - we judge something to be beautiful, expense, large if we have something ugly, cheap or small in front of us
  10. The It’ll-Get-Worse-Before-It-Gets-Better fallacy
  11. Story bias - gives false sense of understanding which leads us to take bigger risk
  12. Hindsight bias - make us believe we are better predictors than we actually are
  13. We underestimate the long term and over estimate the short term

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